While ice cream manufacturers may have previously targeted areas outside of the North of Brazil for luxury ice cream, latest research from Mintel reveals that times and locations for demand are changing. Indeed, according to Mintel’s research, it is those in the Northeast who are currently the biggest consumers of premium ice cream, with more than one in 10 (12%) of consumers in that area saying that they consume this type, compared to 9% in Central West, and 5% in South East and 5% in the South, respectively.

Furthermore, it seems the Northeast region of Brazil is also ripe for future opportunities in premium ice cream as some 70% of consumers in the Northeast say that they would be prepared to pay for premium quality ice cream, compared to 64% in the Southeast, 61% in the South and 55% in Central West.

Naira Sato, senior Brazil food analyst at Mintel, said:

“Ice cream companies need to be aware of the differences between regions in Brazil, and how consumer behavior within them may be rapidly changing. The Northeast region has been growing economically along with the rest of the country, and it is already growing in terms of luxury goods retailing in the region, but is still underexplored. While premium brands tend to invest more in the Southeast region, mainly in São Paulo, consumer affluence in the Northeast region is growing, and with it a propensity towards premium brands, offering a great market opportunity for the development of premium variants.”

“Premium brands can tap into this market, which still consumes little ice cream, by working with established leading and supermarket own brands. This will allow them to encourage current users of a certain brand to trade up, while the premium options can also attract new consumers to the category. In addition to inspiring trust, the introduction of smaller sizes, such as the 100ml mini pots used more frequently in other countries could also encourage consumers to trade up to premium products, while also making it more affordable,” Naira Sato continues.

Mintel’s research shows that the ice cream market in Brazil has shown significant growth of 33% in the last five years, reaching a volume of nearly 398 million liters and a value of approximately R$3.5 billion (approximately $2 billion USD). The growth in value sales stood at 47% between 2007-11, noticeably ahead of the growth in volume due to the increase in taxes applied to the category.

However, while some 77% of Brazilian consumers say that they eat ice cream, the frequency of consumption in Brazil is still very low; only 25% of consumers say they eat ice cream at least once a week, almost the same percentage of people who never eat ice cream (23%). This figure increases even further to 34% of those in the C2DE classes. Highlighting room for improved consumption volumes, the average consumption of ice cream per person in Brazil is approximately 2.3 kg per year, compared to an average of 17 kg per capita for American consumers over the same period and 5.5 kg for British consumers. Meanwhile in New Zealand this figure stands at 12 kg per head, 10 kg in Norway and Australia respectively and 8 kg in Sweden.

“Due to the economic rise of lower socio-economic groups in Brazil, it is expected that more people will begin to consume nonessential products, such as ice cream. There is a great opportunity for the industry to provide products that meet this new customer demand—for example, offering indulgent flavors, smaller sizes that fit customers’ budgets and greater product accessibility in terms of distribution channels,” Naira Sato adds.

Further opportunity for ice cream in Brazil may also come from the 66% of consumers who agree with the statement: “I’m interested in natural ice cream.” In terms of demographics, it seems natural ice cream has greater appeal amongst consumers in São Paulo, where 81% of the consumers are interested in natural ice cream, compared to 50% in Rio de Janeiro. However, currently there are very few new products launched annually with “natural,” “minus,” “plus,” or “functional” claims. Indeed, Mintel’s Global New Products Database (GNPD) found that between 2009 and 2012, just 5% of all ice cream launches in Brazil had a natural claim.

“One of the key market opportunities in Brazil is in products that position themselves as healthy. Considering the addition of vitamins and fiber may make ice cream a more nutritious and healthier food in the eyes of the consumer and increase consumption. It is necessary to put taste and ‘natural’ credentials together, which can be achieved through claims about the ingredients as well as the product’s image or packaging. Product innovations that deliver these benefits are well-positioned to stand out among consumers. However, for ‘healthy’ and ‘natural’ attributes to gain greater importance at the time of purchasing ice cream, it is also up to the brands to help consumers with information about the ingredients and their health benefits, creating relevance for the ‘natural’ ingredients,” Naira Sato explains.

Despite the lower frequency of ice cream consumption among consumers aged 25-34 (29% of them against 36% aged 16-24) they represent great potential for consumption. The Mintel Inspire trend Play Ethic highlights that young adults today are also known as “Generation Next,” stating that most Brazilians between 18-29-years-old still live with their parents.

Richard Cope, director of insight and trends at Mintel, said:

“Twenty-somethings staying at home have the potential to become key consumers of premium, indulgent food products. Food for adults is usually marketed around serious things like fiber content and heart-healthiness, and whilst even ice cream can be invested with these functional qualities, there’s room for brands to take a more playful approach. Our trend research has found opportunities for companies to bring back actual brands from our childhood, and things like ice cream can be marketed around the idea of taking a break from being an adult to indulge in your inner child, but they can also be positioned as on-the-go rewards and use social media campaigns to appeal to the modern, upwardly mobile young consumers.”

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