3 minutes read

Fast casuals have long been viewed as the sweet spot for current consumer dining habits, with 93% of US consumers saying they have visited a fast casual restaurant, according to Mintel’s report on fast casual restaurants. They hit on a variety of trends from international cuisine to customization, while still offering the convenience that diners crave. However, with a variety of sources reporting that fast casual sales are slowing down, this segment of dining is facing a crucial turning point to remain a competitive segment.

Too much, too soon?

The fast casual segment disrupted dining out patterns when early leaders, such as Chipotle and Panera Bread, redefined what it meant to have quality food in an affordable and convenient setting. The success of this segment has led to overwhelming competition from established chains and emerging independents all attempting to put their own spin on the fast casual landscape.

With the variety of options, fast casual chains can’t rely on loyal customers like they once did.
However, the fast-paced expansion of legacy chains and increased competition from independents has led to an overwhelming amount of options for diners. With consumers having a variety of options, fast casual chains can’t rely on loyal customers like they once did. According to an article from Nation’s Restaurant News in May 2017, publicly traded fast casual chains averaged a same-store sales decline of 1.6 percent. In addition, Bloomberg’s Fast Casual Restaurant Index noted fast casual restaurant stocks fell 14% last year.

This is not to say that the fast casual landscape is completely losing its edge, but rather that the increased competition, from both a foodservice and retail perspective, is impacting every segment. Chains like Panera Bread that are consistently innovating with new menu concepts and adapting to delivery and mobile orders are noting the benefits. In April 2017, Panera Bread reported that same sale stores were up 2.6% in the most recent quarter.

What we think

The fast casual segment is certainly not doomed; this shift in sales simply demonstrates that fast casuals are not immune to evolving dining preferences. With retail bringing a stronger focus to freshly prepared meal items and consumers having an overwhelming amount of dining out options to choose from compared to ten years ago, the fast casual segment has to move beyond their core selling points and continue to be innovators in the dining out space. QSRs are also leaning on more premium food items to compete with the fast casual space.

Sweetgreen, the fast casual salad chain, announced that it would be fully cashless in 2017, meaning people can only pay via the Sweetgreen app or credit/debit card. As part of its Spring 2017 menu, the chain also created regional focused salad offerings for key locations. For example, a salad exclusive to Philadelphia called the Zahav Bowl features shredded kale, hot chickpeas, turmeric roasted cauliflower, roasted chicken, organic carrots, toasted almonds, dill + mint, Sweetgreen hot sauce and a lemon-dill tahini dressing. Innovation from both a menu and operation standpoint is essential in order for fast casuals to stay relevant.

Diana Kelter
Diana Kelter

Diana is an Associate Director of Consumer Trends, focusing on North America. Diana joined Mintel as a foodservice analyst before moving to the Trends team. Her role on Trends is a combination of analyzing data and pairing it with global brand monitoring, to determine where macro trends take shape.

More from Mintel
  • Mintel Store Reports
    Discover your next big breakthrough
    Get smart fast with our exclusive market research reports, delivering the latest data, innovation, trends and strategic recommendations....
    View Reports
  • Mintel 2026 Global Predictions
    2026 Global Predictions
    Our Predictions go beyond traditional trend analysis. Download to get the predictive intelligence and strategic framework to shape the future of your industry in 2026 and beyond. ...
    Download now
  • Mintel Consulting
    Are you after more tailored solutions to help drive Consumer Demand, Market Expansion or Innovation Strategy?
    Ask for a customised strategic solution from Mintel Consulting today....
    Find out more
Subscribe to Mintel Spotlight
Related articles
April 17, 2026
Flavor is a complex, multi-dimensional experience that fosters deeper connections between brands and consumers. In this report highlights, we share with you the where we are now with flavors, and…
April 15, 2026
This article distils the latest global drinks industry trends, consumer behaviours and emerging opportunities, powered by Mintel’s expert analysis and proprietary data.
March 23, 2026
Expo West 2026 offered a clear reflection of several long-running shifts Mintel has been tracking across health, nutrition, and consumer expectations. What stood out most this year was less about…

Free market intelligence downloads